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List of Tables |
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| Table 1 |
Summary of Current and Capital Budgets, 2003 to 2006 |
| Notes to Table 1 |
Notes to Table 1 |
| Table 2 |
Explanation of net difference between the Exchequer Balance and the General Government Balance |
| Table 3 |
Current Receipts 2003 to 2006 |
| Table 4 |
Summary of adjustments to 2004 Gross Current Expenditure |
| Table 4a |
Gross Current Expenditure Projections - 2005 and 2006 |
| Table 5 |
Summary of adjustments to 2004 Gross Capital Expenditure and Capital Envelopes |
| Table 6 |
How gross current expenditure will be allocated |
| Table 7 |
Explanatory table of Budget 2004 |
| Table 8 |
Trend in the Current Budget Balance, Exchequer Balance and the General Government Balance |
| Table 9 |
Trend in the National Debt and General Government Debt |
| Table 10 |
Trend in the service of National Debt as a percentage of Expenditure and Taxation |
Table 1 Summary of Current and Capital Budgets 2003 to 2006
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2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
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Estimated |
Post-Budget |
Projection |
Projection |
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Outturn |
Estimate |
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| Current Budget |
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€m |
€m |
€m |
€m |
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Current Expenditure |
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Gross Voted (Departmental expenditure voted by Dail) |
28,024 |
30,057 |
31,778 |
33,324 |
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Expenditure from the Social Insurance Fund |
Note 2 |
4,829 |
5,201 |
5,379 |
5,600 |
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Expenditure from the National Training Fund |
239 |
293 |
301 |
308 |
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Non-voted (Central Fund) expenditure |
3,304 |
3,794 |
4,088 |
4,391 |
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Gross Current Expenditure |
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36,396 |
39,345 |
41,546 |
43,623 |
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Appropriations-in-aid (including SIF expenditure) |
Note 3 |
7,530 |
8,085 |
8,316 |
8,647 |
| less |
Departmental Balances |
Note 4 |
35 |
30 |
0 |
0 |
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Net Current Expenditure |
Tables 4 and 4a |
28,831 |
31,230 |
33,229 |
34,976 |
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Current Receipts |
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Tax Revenue |
Table 3 |
31,754 |
33,400 |
35,870 |
38,800 |
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Non-Tax Revenue |
Table 3 |
1,052 |
819 |
650 |
667 |
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Total Current Receipts |
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32,805 |
34,219 |
36,520 |
39,467 |
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Current Budget Balance |
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3,975 |
2,989 |
3,290 |
4,491 |
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| Capital Budget |
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Capital Expenditure |
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Gross Voted (Departmental expenditure voted by Dail) |
5,432 |
5,566 |
5,715 |
5,910 |
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Non-voted (Expenditure under legislation) |
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378 |
391 |
380 |
382 |
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Pre-funding of future pension liabilities |
Note 5 |
1,103 |
1,177 |
1,260 |
1,349 |
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Appropriations-in-Aid |
Note 2 |
90 |
85 |
92 |
96 |
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Net Capital Expenditure |
Table 5 |
6,823 |
7,049 |
7,263 |
7,545 |
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Capital Resources |
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1,339 |
1,254 |
1,164 |
1,117 |
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Capital Budget Balance |
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-5,485 |
-5,795 |
-6,099 |
-6,428 |
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General Contingency Provision |
Note 6 |
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624 |
1,344 |
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| Exchequer Balance |
Note 7 |
-1,510 |
-2,806 |
-3,432 |
-3,280 |
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| General Government Balance |
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-594 |
-1,635 |
-2,127 |
-1,845 |
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| General Government Balance as a % of GDP |
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-0.4% |
-1.1% |
-1.4% |
-1.1% |
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GDP Value (ESA 95 basis) |
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135,200 |
144,800 |
156,000 |
168,000 |
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GNP Value (ESA 95 basis) |
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109,800 |
117,700 |
126,000 |
134,900 |
| Note that figures may not add due to rounding. |
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Notes to Table 1
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| Note 1 |
The Projections reflect: |
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(a) |
the impact of the measures announced in Budget 2004; |
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(b) |
technical provisions under the expenditure and tax headings for possible future budgets, with full year costs of €700 million in 2005 and €750 million in 2006 in respect of changes in tax and gross current expenditure. The level of these changes will be subject to review in light of emerging economic conditions; |
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(c) |
a technical assumption that income to the Social Insurance Fund (SIF) will increase in line with earnings and employment while payments from the SIF will depend on the eventual distribution of the unallocated current expenditure provision in Table 4(a). This will have an impact on the Net Surplus of the SIF (as shown in Table 2), Appropriations-in-aid and the Exchequer Balance, but not on the General Government Balance; |
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(d) |
unchanged interest rates; |
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(e) |
a decrease in the assets of the capital services redemption account of €250 million in 2003 which is reflected in the figures for non-voted (Central Fund) expenditure. |
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| Note 2 |
Expenditure from the Social Insurance Fund includes a payment in each year to the Department of Social and Family Affairs to cover the cost of administration of the Fund. These payments of €120m in 2003 and 2004, €126m in 2005 and €128m in 2006 are received as an appropriation-in-aid on that vote. |
| Note 3 |
Appropriations-in-Aid are Departmental receipts which, with the approval of the Dail, may be retained by a Department or Office to offset expenses instead of being paid into the Exchequer Account of the Central Fund. Details of gross voted Departmental expenditure are contained in the Estimates for Public Services. PRSI receipts accrue to the Social Insurance Fund.
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| Note 4 |
Departmental balances are those amounts issued from the Exchequer Account of the Central Fund for Departmental spending in one year which remain unspent at year-end and are carried forward to be used in the next year. |
| Note 5 |
Under the terms of the National Pensions Reserve Fund Act, 2001, 1% of GNP annually is paid into the National Pensions Reserve Fund for the pre-funding of part of the future cost of social welfare and public service pensions. |
| Note 6 |
A prudent contingency provision is made against factors outside the control of Government that may impact on the Budget but which cannot be foreseen at this stage. Examples are variability in tax buoyancy and exceptional costs arising in areas of public expenditure. While such variations could be both positive and negative, it is considered appropriate to allow in the projections for a negative net impact on the General Government Balance and Exchequer Balance. |
| Note 7 |
The 2003 outturn estimates are identical to the White Paper figures except for the Tax Revenue figure which is €11m higher due to the additional Excise receipts as a consequence of the Budget changes |
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