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Table 1
Summary of Current and Capital Budgets 2003 to 2006
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2003
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2004
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2005
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2006
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Estimated
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Post-Budget
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Projection
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Projection
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Outturn
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Estimate
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Current Budget
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€m
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€m
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€m
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€m
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Current Expenditure
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Gross Voted (Departmental expenditure voted by Dail)
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28,024
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30,057
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31,778
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33,324 |
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Expenditure from the Social Insurance Fund
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Note 2
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4,829
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5,201
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5,379
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5,600 |
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Expenditure from the National Training Fund
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239
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293
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301
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308
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Non-voted (Central Fund) expenditure
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3,304
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3,794
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4,088
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4,391
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Gross Current Expenditure
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36,396
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39,345
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41,546
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43,623
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less
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Appropriations-in-aid (including SIF expenditure)
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Note 3
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7,530
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8,085
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8,316
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8,647
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less
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Departmental Balances
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Note 4
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35
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30
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0
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0
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Net Current Expenditure
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Tables 4 and 4a
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28,831
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31,230
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33,229
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34,976
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Current Receipts
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Tax Revenue
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Table 3
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31,754
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33,400
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35,870
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38,800
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Non-Tax Revenue
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Table 3
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1,052
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819
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650
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667
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Total Current Receipts
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32,805
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34,219
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36,520
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39,467
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Current Budget Balance
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3,975
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2,989
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3,290
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4,491
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Capital Budget
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Capital Expenditure
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Gross Voted (Departmental expenditure voted by Dail)
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5,432
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5,566
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5,715
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5,910
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Non-voted (Expenditure under legislation)
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378
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391
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380
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382
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Pre-funding of future pension liabilities
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Note 5
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1,103
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1,177
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1,260
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1,349
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less
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Appropriations-in-Aid
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Note 2
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90
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85
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92
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96
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Net Capital Expenditure
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Table 5
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6,823
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7,049
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7,263
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7,545
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Capital Resources
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1,339
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1,254
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1,164
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1,117
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Capital Budget Balance
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-5,485
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-5,795
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-6,099
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-6,428
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General Contingency Provision
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Note 6
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624
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1,344
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Exchequer Balance
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Note 7
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-1,510
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-2,806
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-3,432
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-3,280
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General Government Balance
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-594
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-1,635
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-2,127
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-1,845
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General Government Balance as a % of GDP
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-0.4%
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-1.1%
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-1.4%
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-1.1%
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GDP Value (ESA 95 basis)
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135,200
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144,800
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156,000
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168,000
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GNP Value (ESA 95 basis)
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109,800
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117,700
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126,000
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134,900
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Note that figures may not add due to rounding.
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Notes on Table 1
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Note 1
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The Projections reflect:
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(a)
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the impact of the measures announced in Budget 2004;
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(b)
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technical provisions under the expenditure and tax headings for possible future
budgets, with full year costs of €700 million in 2005 and €750 million in 2006 in
respect of changes in tax and gross current expenditure. The level of these changes
will be subject to review in light of emerging economic conditions;
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(c)
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a technical assumption that income to the Social Insurance Fund (SIF) will increase
in line with earnings and employment while payments from the SIF will depend on
the eventual distribution of the unallocated current expenditure provision in Table
4(a). This will have an impact on the Net Surplus of the SIF (as shown in Table
2), Appropriations-in-aid and the Exchequer Balance, but not on the General Government
Balance;
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(d)
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unchanged interest rates;
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(e)
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a decrease in the assets of the capital services redemption account of €250 million
in 2003 which is reflected in the figures for non-voted (Central Fund) expenditure.
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Note 2
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Expenditure from the Social Insurance Fund includes a payment in each year to the
Department of Social and Family Affairs to cover the cost of administration of the
Fund. These payments of €120m in 2003 and 2004, €126m in 2005 and €128m in 2006
are received as an appropriation-in-aid on that vote.
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Note 3
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Appropriations-in-Aid are Departmental receipts which, with the approval of the
Dail, may be retained by a Department or Office to offset expenses instead of being
paid into the Exchequer Account of the Central Fund. Details of gross voted Departmental
expenditure are contained in the Estimates for Public Services. PRSI receipts accrue
to the Social Insurance Fund.
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Note 4
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Departmental balances are those amounts issued from the Exchequer Account of the
Central Fund for Departmental spending in one year which remain unspent at year-end
and are carried forward to be used in the next year.
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Note 5
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Under the terms of the National Pensions Reserve Fund Act, 2001, 1% of GNP annually
is paid into the National Pensions Reserve Fund for the pre-funding of part of the
future cost of social welfare and public service pensions.
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Note 6
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A prudent contingency provision is made against factors outside the control of Government
that may impact on the Budget but which cannot be foreseen at this stage. Examples
are variability in tax buoyancy and exceptional costs arising in areas of public
expenditure. While such variations could be both positive and negative, it is considered
appropriate to allow in the projections for a negative net impact on the General
Government Balance and Exchequer Balance.
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Note 7
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The 2003 outturn estimates are identical to the White Paper figures except for the
Tax Revenue figure which is €11m higher due to the additional Excise receipts as
a consequence of the Budget changes
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